Trump announced Friday that U.S. forces killed Hector Rusthenford Guerrero Flores, leader of Venezuela's Tren de Aragua gang. Retail traders immediately checked if there's a Venezuela ETF they can short. There isn't a liquid one. They're devastated.
The gang, which operates across South America and allegedly into the United States, now lacks its founder. Markets did not move. Oil did not move. Gold did not move. The VIX yawned. Crypto bros tried to make it about crypto. They failed.
Somewhere right now a guy with $847 in his Webull account is watching YouTube videos about how this affects the lithium supply chain. He will find a connection. The connection will be wrong. He will buy call options on a mining company that doesn't operate in Venezuela. The calls will expire worthless next Friday.
Tren de Aragua has been blamed for criminal activity ranging from human trafficking to extortion. Flores ran the organization from behind bars in Venezuela before escaping. He's dead now. None of this information helps you predict what SPY does Monday. It didn't help you predict what SPY did Friday either. You checked anyway.
The strike itself raises questions about U.S. military operations in South America, executive authority, international law, and whether any of this constitutes an act of war. Those are interesting questions. They have zero correlation to whether Tesla goes up or down. You're going to try to trade Tesla on this news anyway because you're a f*cking liability to yourself.
Gang leader dead, press release issued, talking heads talking. Your portfolio remains a crime scene with no perpetrator except you.
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