Iran and Israel are launching missiles at each other. This confirms the ceasefire is working.
The U.S.-Iran ceasefire began in early April. It has held strong for several weeks. So strong that Iran felt comfortable firing missiles at Israel. That's not a contradiction. That's just how Middle Eastern peace works.
The ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran remains intact because the missiles are going to Israel. Different country. Different rulebook. The U.S. and Iran are still not firing at each other. Mission accomplished. Ceasefire preserved. Everyone can go home.
Israel is not party to the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. This is a critical technical detail. Iran can fire as many missiles as it wants at Israel without violating its agreement with Washington. It's like a diet where you can eat anything you want as long as you're standing up. The calories don't count if you're not sitting down.
The headline calls this ceasefire "fragile." That's generous. A ceasefire where one party immediately starts firing missiles at a third party isn't fragile. It's creative accounting. It's Enron-level bookkeeping applied to international relations.
The U.S. negotiated a ceasefire with Iran that allowed Iran to fire missiles at Israel. That's not diplomacy. That's just redirecting the problem. It's like telling your neighbor you'll stop throwing trash in his yard and then throwing it in his other neighbor's yard instead. Technically you kept your promise.
Israel is learning an important lesson about regional peace agreements: always read the fine print about who gets to shoot whom.
Photo by Saifee Art on Unsplash
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