SpaceX gets added to the Nasdaq-100 despite not trading on the Nasdaq. Or any exchange. Private companies can now join stock indexes. Makes perfect sense. Next week the S&P 500 will add my neighbor's lemonade stand.
Nasdaq built a fast-track framework specifically so private companies could juice ETF flows without subjecting themselves to the indignity of quarterly earnings calls or SEC filings. Elon Musk gets billions in passive fund buying pressure while telling exactly zero retail investors what the company actually does with their money. Revolutionary stuff.
The ETF complex will now dump cash into a company whose shares trade on secondary markets at whatever price two Stanford grads in a Signal chat decide is fair. Price discovery died so that QQQ could own a piece of a rocket company. Every pension fund in America gets exposure to an asset they cannot sell, cannot value, and cannot vote. But the expense ratio stays low so nobody asks questions.
Retail traders who bought leveraged Nasdaq ETFs yesterday thinking they owned tech stocks now own a privately-held aerospace manufacturer. They will find out when they read the quarterly rebalance notice. Most will not read the quarterly rebalance notice.
This marks the first time an index inclusion created buying demand for shares that do not exist in a format anyone can actually purchase. Brokerages will route orders into a void. Market makers will scratch their heads. Authorized participants will call their lawyers. And somewhere in Texas a man who sells flamethrowers will get richer.
The fast-track framework exists because waiting for an IPO takes too long and Nasdaq needed content. SpaceX needed liquidity without transparency. A beautiful marriage. The kind that ends with someone's pension fund holding a stake in a company valued by vibes and Elon tweets.
By next year every billionaire with a private company will demand index inclusion. Nasdaq will comply. The indexes will become a nursing home for businesses too important to show their work.
Photo by on Unsplash

Leave a Comment