, September 20, 2026

TRADE DESK, INC. (TTD) — Fundamental Analysis


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Table of content

The Trade Desk is a programmatic advertising technology platform that has grown from a $203 million revenue business in 2016 to nearly $2.9 billion in 2025 — a remarkable sustained run of top-line expansion. Profitability has also improved meaningfully over this period, with operating margins climbing back toward the high teens and low twenties after a trough in 2022. The balance sheet carries no reported debt-to-equity burden in the data, and the current ratio stays comfortably above 1.6x, signaling solid near-term liquidity. Capital expenditures jumped sharply in the most recent quarter (Q1 2026), which is worth watching — it may signal a new phase of infrastructure investment. Overall, The Trade Desk presents as a high-growth, increasingly profitable ad-tech platform with strong cash-generative characteristics, though the Q1 2026 quarter showed some margin compression and a notable spike in spending that investors should monitor closely.

Snapshot & Big Picture

The Trade Desk operates a self-service cloud-based platform that allows advertisers to manage and optimize digital advertising campaigns across a wide variety of channels — display, video, audio, connected TV (CTV), and more. The company sits on the buy side of the programmatic advertising ecosystem and has positioned itself as an independent alternative to the walled gardens of Google and Meta.

Over the past decade, revenue has compounded at an impressive pace (see the Growth section below), driven by secular tailwinds in CTV adoption, the shift of advertising budgets to data-driven digital channels, and international expansion. The company has consistently generated positive EBITDA throughout its filing history, and net margins — while volatile year to year — have generally held in the double digits.

Fiscal Year Revenue EBITDA Operating Margin Net Margin
2025 $2,896,284,000 $705,105,000 20.3% 15.3%
2024 $2,444,831,000 $514,657,000 17.5% 16.1%
2023 $1,946,120,000 $280,898,000 10.3% 9.2%
2022 $1,577,795,000 $168,079,000 7.2% 3.4%
2021 $1,196,467,000 $167,036,000 10.4% 11.5%
2020 $836,033,000 $172,840,000 17.2% 29.0%
2019 $661,058,000 $133,858,000 17.0% 16.4%
2018 $477,294,000 $119,145,000 22.5% 18.5%
2017 $308,217,000 $76,565,000 22.5% 16.5%
2016 $202,926,000 $61,316,000 28.3% 10.1%

Latest Quarter Snapshot (Q1 2026)

The most recent data available — the 10-Q for the quarter ending March 31, 2026 — is more current than the annual figures and provides an early read on 2026 momentum. Q1 2026 revenue came in at $688,857,000, representing a healthy absolute level, though operating and net margins compressed noticeably relative to the full-year 2025 figures. The operating margin for the quarter was approximately 9.7%, and the net margin was approximately 5.8% — both meaningfully below the full-year 2025 levels of 20.3% and 15.3% respectively. Some seasonality is expected in Q1 (advertising budgets tend to be lighter early in the year), but the degree of compression warrants attention.

The current ratio ticked up slightly to 1.68x, maintaining the pattern of solid near-term liquidity. Gross margin was not separately disclosed in this quarter's filing data. One notable development: capital expenditures in Q1 2026 alone were $112,741,000 — more than the entirety of full-year 2024 capex of $98,238,000 — pushing the capex-to-revenue ratio to 16.4% for the quarter. This is a significant spike and likely reflects a deliberate step-up in infrastructure or technology investment.

Metric Q1 2026
Revenue $688,857,000
EBITDA $98,078,000
Operating Margin 9.7%
Net Margin 5.8%
Current Ratio 1.68x
Capital Expenditures $112,741,000
CapEx / Revenue 16.4%
Gross Margin Not available in filing

Profitability

The Trade Desk's profitability story over the past decade is one of rapid scaling interrupted by a period of heavy investment, followed by a recovery and re-expansion of margins. In 2016 and 2017, operating margins were in the high twenties and low twenties respectively, reflecting a leaner cost structure relative to revenue at the time. As the company invested aggressively in its platform, headcount, and international presence through 2021 and 2022, operating margins contracted sharply — bottoming at just 7.2% in 2022 and net margins falling to a thin 3.4%.

Since 2023, margins have recovered strongly. By 2025, the operating margin reached 20.3% and net margin was 15.3% — levels not seen since the earlier years of the company's public life. EBITDA grew from $168 million in 2022 to over $705 million in 2025, a more than fourfold improvement in three years. This suggests the company has moved past the heaviest phase of its cost investment cycle and is now generating meaningful operating leverage on its revenue base. The 2020 net margin outlier of 29.0% appears to reflect one-time or non-operating items rather than a sustainable run rate. Gross margin data was not available in the filings provided across any of the reported periods.

Financial Health

The Trade Desk has maintained a current ratio consistently above 1.4x going back to 2016, and in recent years it has generally ranged between 1.6x and 1.9x — a comfortable cushion of near-term assets over near-term liabilities. The debt-to-equity ratio was not available in the filing data across any of the reported periods, which limits a full assessment of leverage; however, the absence of reported figures in this line may reflect a predominantly equity-funded capital structure.

Capital expenditure trends tell an evolving story. In the early years (2016–2018), capex ran at roughly 3–5% of revenue, consistent with a relatively asset-light software platform. That ratio moved around in subsequent years but generally stayed in the 2–8% range through 2025. The full-year 2025 capex of $197,011,000 represented 6.8% of revenue — elevated but not alarming. The sharp jump in Q1 2026, however, is striking: $112,741,000 in a single quarter equates to 16.4% of that quarter's revenue. If this pace continues, it would imply annualized capex well above $400 million, representing a meaningful step-change in capital intensity. This could reflect investment in data center infrastructure, AI capabilities, or platform buildout — but investors will want clarity on whether this is a one-quarter surge or the beginning of a sustained higher-capex regime.

Fiscal Year Capital Expenditures CapEx / Revenue Current Ratio
2025 $197,011,000 6.8% 1.61x
2024 $98,238,000 4.0% 1.86x
2023 $46,790,000 2.4% 1.72x
2022 $84,160,000 5.3% 1.90x
2021 $54,804,000 4.6% 1.71x
2020 $74,061,000 8.9% 1.57x
2019 $35,693,000 5.4% 1.56x
2018 $19,795,000 4.1% 1.48x
2017 $10,110,000 3.3% 1.48x
2016 $6,884,000 3.4% 1.50x
Q1 2026 $112,741,000 16.4% 1.68x

Growth

The Trade Desk has delivered strong and consistent revenue growth across measured time windows, as shown in the CAGR table below. The 10-year CAGR is not available because the company's SEC filing history in the provided data does not extend back far enough to support a 10-year calculation from the current endpoint. The 3-year and 5-year CAGRs both reflect robust double-digit compounding, with the 5-year figure of 28.2% being particularly impressive — driven by the company more than tripling revenue from $836 million in 2020 to nearly $2.9 billion in 2025. The 3-year CAGR of 22.4% indicates that growth, while still strong, has moderated slightly as the revenue base has grown larger, which is a natural and expected dynamic for a maturing high-growth company.

CAGR Window Start Fiscal Year End Fiscal Year Start Revenue End Revenue CAGR
3-Year 2022 2025 $1,577,795,000 $2,896,284,000 22.4%
5-Year 2020 2025 $836,033,000 $2,896,284,000 28.2%
10-Year N/A N/A N/A N/A Not available — filing history in the provided data does not extend back 10 years from the current endpoint

Source Filings

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