The Strait of Hormuz has been choked for five months. Trump now signals a shift to economic pressure. Iran hardens its stance. Somewhere in New Jersey, a guy who bought oil ETFs in March just realized he should probably know where the Strait of Hormuz is.
Twenty percent of the world's petroleum passes through this 21-mile-wide chokepoint. It's been a crisis since early 2026. The tally escalates. The two sides remain far from resolution. Your portfolio has been bleeding for half a year because two countries can't agree on who gets to use a waterway that's been there since the last ice age.
Economic pressure. That's the shift. Not military. Not diplomatic. Economic. Which means sanctions, which means supply disruptions, which means oil price volatility, which means every technical indicator you worship becomes as useful as a weather forecast during a hurricane. But sure, keep drawing your little triangles.
Iran hardens its stance. Trump signals his shift. The market prices in nothing because the market prices in everything, which is another way of saying nobody knows what the f*ck is happening. You're trading on headlines about geopolitical tension in a region you couldn't find on a map six months ago. You read "Strait of Hormuz" and immediately checked TradingView to see if it correlates with the 50-day moving average.
Five months. The crisis has lasted five months. You've made 47 trades based on Iran news in that time. You're down 18 percent. The waterway is still choked. The tally still escalates. Trump still tweets. Iran still hardens. And you still think the breakthrough will come right after you nail the next entry point.
The Strait of Hormuz doesn't care about your stop loss.
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