Iran fired missiles at U.S. military bases in Kuwait and Bahrain. This happened after a drone attack in Egypt. The Iranian army announced this publicly because subtlety died in 2019 along with your Bitcoin position.
Retail traders saw the headline and immediately opened their brokerage apps. They checked defense stocks. They checked oil futures. They checked gold. They did everything except ask themselves why they think they can process geopolitical risk faster than algorithms that were built by people who actually passed calculus.
The U.S. has strategic assets in Kuwait and Bahrain. Iran knows where these assets are located. Iran announced they targeted these assets. This is the level of transparency we're working with. It's like your ex texting you that she's about to key your car and you still act surprised when you see the scratches.
Some guy in Connecticut is now long Lockheed Martin because he thinks he cracked the code. He read Iran in a headline and remembered his cousin works in supply chain and once mentioned something about defense contracts. That's his entire thesis. He'll tell his friends about his geopolitical instincts while the position bleeds out over six weeks because he doesn't understand that none of this information belongs to him first.
Middle East tensions spike every few months. They've spiked for decades. Traders pretend each spike is the big one. They load up on their war portfolio like they're auditioning for a think tank. Then nothing structural changes and they're stuck explaining to their wives why they bought raytheon at the top again.
Iran launched actual missiles at actual U.S. bases and your technical indicators still say the same thing they said yesterday, which is nothing, because missiles don't care about your MACD crossover.
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