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Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR) — Fundamental Analysis


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Table of content

Archer Aviation is a pre-commercial electric air taxi company that is burning through significant cash as it works toward certifying and launching its Midnight aircraft. The financials are exactly what you'd expect from a company at this stage: essentially zero revenue until very recently, rapidly widening losses driven by R&D and certification costs, and no path to profitability in sight for the near term. The encouraging news is that the most recent quarter shows the first meaningful revenue — $5 million — signaling early commercial activity, and the balance sheet remains relatively clean with a strong current ratio and minimal debt. But the scale of losses ($271 million in negative EBITDA in just one quarter) against that revenue makes clear that Archer is still very much a bet on future execution rather than present financial performance.

Snapshot & Big Picture

Archer Aviation went public via SPAC and has been in development-stage operations, spending heavily to achieve FAA type certification for its Midnight eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing) aircraft. For fiscal years 2023 and 2024, the company reported zero revenue — every dollar that came in went straight to engineering, testing, and building out manufacturing capabilities. The fiscal year 2025 annual data shows $300,000 in revenue, which is essentially a rounding error relative to the company's cost structure. The real inflection point visible in the data is the most recent quarter ending June 30, 2026, which recorded $5 million in revenue — a meaningful step, though still dwarfed by operating costs. Investors in Archer are fundamentally underwriting a certification and commercialization timeline, not current earnings power.

Fiscal Year End Revenue EBITDA Current Ratio Debt-to-Equity
Dec 31, 2023 $0 -$440.4M 4.21 0.020
Dec 31, 2024 $0 -$498.0M 12.07 0.085
Dec 31, 2025 $300K -$709.3M 19.89 0.036
Q2 2026 (Jun 30, 2026) $5.0M -$271.4M 10.21 0.042

Latest Quarter Snapshot

The most current data point — and more relevant than the annual figures for gauging where Archer stands today — is the quarter ending June 30, 2026, reported in the 10-Q filed August 10, 2026. Revenue came in at $5 million, the first quarter to show a commercially meaningful top line. Despite that milestone, EBITDA was -$271.4 million for the quarter alone, implying an annualized burn rate well above $1 billion if costs hold at this level. The operating margin was -5,584% and net margin was -5,264%, which are less useful as traditional metrics and more useful as illustrations of how far revenue must scale before the business approaches breakeven. The current ratio of 10.21 indicates the company holds substantial short-term liquidity relative to near-term obligations, which is reassuring given the cash consumption rate. Debt-to-equity remains low at 0.042, meaning Archer is not leveraged in a traditional sense — it funds operations primarily through equity raises rather than debt.

Profitability

There is no profitability to speak of at this stage, and the trend in losses has been moving in the wrong direction on an absolute basis. EBITDA losses widened from -$440.4 million in 2023 to -$498.0 million in 2024, then jumped sharply to -$709.3 million in 2025. Gross margin is not calculable for any annual period due to the near-zero or zero revenue base. The quarterly data for Q2 2026 shows gross margin was also not available in the filing. The operating and net margins for fiscal 2025 were -2,431% and -2,061% respectively — numbers that reflect a company spending at scale while earning almost nothing. The losses are largely a function of accelerating R&D and certification spending, which is a deliberate investment in future commercialization, but the pace of loss growth is something investors need to watch closely as they assess how much additional capital the company will need to raise before reaching a sustainable revenue run rate.

Financial Health & Capital Expenditures

Despite the operating losses, Archer's balance sheet shows a company that has been well-capitalized by its equity investors. The current ratio has improved dramatically — from 4.21 in 2023 to 12.07 in 2024 and 19.89 in 2025 — reflecting successful capital raises that have built up a substantial cash cushion. The most recent quarter shows the current ratio pulling back to 10.21, likely reflecting ongoing cash consumption. Debt levels remain extremely low across all periods, with debt-to-equity ranging from 0.02 to 0.085, confirming that the company has not taken on meaningful leverage.

Capital expenditures tell the story of a company building out physical infrastructure to support manufacturing and testing:

Period Capital Expenditures CapEx-to-Revenue
FY 2023 $44.3M Not meaningful (zero revenue)
FY 2024 $82.0M Not meaningful (zero revenue)
FY 2025 $78.8M 26,267% (revenue near zero)
Q2 2026 (quarter only) $32.6M 652%

CapEx nearly doubled from 2023 to 2024, then held roughly flat in 2025 — suggesting the initial buildout phase may be plateauing, though $78–82 million per year is still a significant reinvestment requirement for a company with minimal revenue. Even in the most recent quarter, $32.6 million in CapEx against $5 million in revenue underscores how capital-intensive this business remains. As revenue scales, the CapEx-to-revenue ratio should compress meaningfully, but that compression depends entirely on the pace of commercial ramp. The trend implies Archer is approaching (or has approached) peak infrastructure investment, but the business will need revenue to grow dramatically before capital intensity looks manageable by conventional standards.

Growth

Calculating traditional revenue CAGR is not possible for Archer given its development-stage history. All three standard windows are unavailable:

CAGR Window Span CAGR Note
3-Year FY 2022 – FY 2025 Not available Revenue was zero in the comparison year, making CAGR incalculable
5-Year FY 2020 – FY 2025 Not available Insufficient SEC filing history extending back that far
10-Year FY 2015 – FY 2025 Not available Insufficient SEC filing history extending back that far

The absence of calculable CAGR figures is not a flaw in the analysis — it accurately reflects that Archer has had no meaningful revenue base from which to measure compound growth. The relevant growth story is the transition from $0 in revenue (2023–2024) to $300K (FY 2025) to $5 million in a single quarter (Q2 2026). If that quarterly trajectory continues to accelerate, meaningful CAGR figures may become calculable within the next few annual reporting cycles. For now, the growth thesis rests on management's commercial execution plan and the pace of FAA certification progress rather than historical financial metrics.

Source Filings

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