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SURF AIR MOBILITY INC. (SRFM) — Fundamental Analysis


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Table of content

Surf Air Mobility (SRFM) is a regional air travel and aviation services company that has grown its revenue rapidly since going public — nearly tripling from $20M in 2022 to over $106M in 2025 — but remains deeply unprofitable and cash-strained. The company consistently burns far more cash than it earns, carries a dangerously low current ratio (meaning it struggles to meet short-term obligations), and has negative equity, which makes the debt-to-equity metric technically meaningless in a traditional sense. While losses have narrowed meaningfully as a percentage of revenue over the past two years, there is no evidence yet of a path to breakeven. Investors should treat SRFM as a high-risk, early-stage growth story where execution on cost discipline and revenue scaling is everything.

Snapshot & Big Picture

Surf Air Mobility operates regional air networks and provides aviation technology services, targeting the underserved short-haul travel market. The company went public in 2023 and has since been integrating acquisitions and scaling operations. The core challenge is straightforward: revenue is growing fast, but the cost structure remains far larger than the top line, resulting in persistent operating and net losses. The most encouraging sign is that operating losses as a share of revenue have compressed substantially — from -325% of revenue in 2023 to -72% in 2025 — but the company still has a long runway before it can claim financial sustainability.

Fiscal Year Revenue EBITDA Operating Margin Net Margin
2022 $20.3M -$49.9M -251.1% -366.8%
2023 $60.5M -$193.0M -325.2% -414.3%
2024 $119.4M -$51.9M -50.5% -62.7%
2025 $106.6M -$67.6M -72.1% -103.8%

Latest Quarter Snapshot

The most recent data available comes from the 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, filed August 10, 2026 — making it more current than the annual figures above. Quarterly revenue came in at $29.5M, with an operating margin of -63.7% and a net margin of -95.3%. EBITDA for the quarter was -$16.3M. The current ratio stood at 0.26, still well below 1.0, indicating ongoing liquidity pressure. These figures suggest the business is tracking roughly in line with — or slightly worse than — its 2025 annual pace on a profitability basis, with no dramatic improvement yet visible.

Metric Q2 2026 (Quarter Ended June 30, 2026)
Revenue $29.5M
EBITDA -$16.3M
Operating Margin -63.7%
Net Margin -95.3%
Current Ratio 0.26
CapEx $2.8M
CapEx / Revenue 9.4%

Profitability

The multi-year profitability trend tells a nuanced story. Losses exploded in 2023 — EBITDA hit -$193M and net margin fell to -414% — likely reflecting merger, integration, and one-time charges associated with the company's public listing and acquisitions. In 2024, margins improved dramatically as revenue nearly doubled and one-time costs faded. However, 2025 saw a slight reversal: revenue dipped from $119M to $107M while EBITDA losses widened back to -$67.6M, pushing net margin back below -100%. Gross margin data was not available in any of the filings provided, which limits visibility into the underlying unit economics. The most honest read is that SRFM has shown it can narrow losses when revenue scales, but the business has not yet demonstrated consistent margin improvement or a durable glide path to profitability.

Financial Health

SRFM's balance sheet is fragile. The current ratio has never exceeded 0.38 across the four fiscal years on record, and sits at just 0.26 in the most recent quarter — meaning the company has roughly 26 cents of current assets for every dollar of current liabilities. This is a persistent liquidity concern. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative across all periods (and was not available for 2022), which reflects negative shareholders' equity — a situation where accumulated losses have eroded the equity base below zero. This makes the ratio technically uninformative in the traditional sense and signals that the company is reliant on external financing to continue operating.

On capital expenditures: SRFM's CapEx was minimal in 2022 at just $99K (0.5% of revenue), but scaled up significantly as the business grew. In 2023, CapEx was $7.6M (12.5% of revenue); in 2024, $11.8M (9.8%); and in 2025, $5.9M (5.6%). The most recent quarter shows CapEx of $2.8M (9.4% of revenue). The overall trend suggests capital intensity has moderated from its 2023–2024 peak but remains meaningful for a company of this size and financial position. For a business still burning cash at the operating level, continued CapEx investment — even at reduced levels — adds pressure on liquidity and financing needs.

Period CapEx CapEx / Revenue Current Ratio
FY 2022 $99K 0.5% 0.14
FY 2023 $7.6M 12.5% 0.13
FY 2024 $11.8M 9.8% 0.38
FY 2025 $5.9M 5.6% 0.23
Q2 2026 $2.8M 9.4% 0.26

Growth

Despite the profitability challenges, SRFM's top-line growth has been striking. The table below shows revenue CAGR across available windows.

Window Start Year End Year Start Revenue End Revenue CAGR
3-Year FY 2022 FY 2025 $20.3M $106.6M 73.9%
5-Year N/A N/A — — Not available — insufficient SEC filing history
10-Year N/A N/A — — Not available — insufficient SEC filing history

A 3-year revenue CAGR of ~74% is exceptional by any measure, and reflects both organic growth and acquisition-driven revenue consolidation since the company's public debut. Five- and 10-year CAGRs are not available because SRFM does not have sufficient SEC filing history extending that far back. The key question going forward is whether the company can sustain meaningful revenue growth while simultaneously bending the cost curve — the 2025 revenue dip (down from $119M in 2024 to $107M) is a reminder that top-line momentum is not yet locked in.

Source Filings

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