Russian strikes knocked out power across Dnipro. Zelenskyy says more missiles are coming.
Ukraine reportedly answered with a drone attack that set a Russian oil refinery on fire.
Nobody in that exchange is checking a candlestick chart. They have bigger problems. You have a 50-day moving average.
Dnipro is a city of about a million people before the war. Now it has a flashlight budget. The refinery has a fire department that is having a very long night.
Retail traders will see this and buy oil calls. They will do it from a phone at 3 a.m., in a kitchen lit by a refrigerator. Their thesis will be a tweet. Their stop loss will be a feeling.
I feel for them. Not much. About as much as the grid in Dnipro feels for them.
Technically, the pattern is clear. Missile, blackout, warning, drone, fire. It repeats. No indicator predicts it. Your RSI is not a air raid siren.
Zelenskyy warned of more attacks. That is the most reliable forecast you will read this week. It beats every analyst note on Wall Street, and it cost you nothing.
You will still lose money on the oil trade. The refinery will burn and your position will somehow fall.
Dnipro will get its lights back before you get your money back.
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