The Census Bureau released data showing incomes rose and poverty fell in 2025. Retail traders immediately checked their Fibonacci retracements to see if this mattered. It didn't.
Here's what happened. Americans made more money. Fewer Americans lived in poverty. The Federal Reserve might raise interest rates because of it. Your double top on the 15-minute chart remains completely f*cking irrelevant to any of this.
The Fed is considering rate increases that could slow economic growth. Translation: they might make borrowing more expensive. You know what won't predict when that happens? The head and shoulders pattern you drew on SPY last Tuesday. You know what also won't predict it? The RSI divergence you posted in the Discord at 3am. Or the Elliott Wave count you've been revising for six months.
Incomes went up. The economy grew. Poverty dropped. These are actual measurements of actual things that happened to actual people. None of those people consulted your trendlines first.
The Census Bureau used surveys and data collection. They counted income. They measured poverty rates. They published findings. At no point did they check whether price action confirmed the 200-day moving average.
Meanwhile the Fed sits in a room and decides policy based on employment data and inflation targets and economic models built by people with doctorates. Your opinion about support levels at $420.69 does not factor into their decision-making process.
But sure. Draw another ascending triangle. Mark up your chart with seventeen different indicators. Post it with the caption "interesting setup here" and three thinking-face emojis. The Census Bureau will get right on incorporating that into next year's poverty statistics.
Photo by Dyana Wing So on Unsplash
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