France has two crowd counts. The Interior Ministry says 410,000 people marched. The unions say double that. Nobody checked with the pigeons.
Both sides agree on one thing. Most of it was peaceful. Then Paris happened.
Violence flared in the capital after the marches wound down. Same country. Same day. Different mood.
Now consider the discrepancy. A gap of 410,000 people. That is not a margin of error. That is the population of Bologna, misplaced.
The Interior Ministry counts heads. The unions count heads, plus hope, plus whoever was standing near a bakery. Both call it methodology. I call it two guys guessing the jelly beans in a jar, except the jar is on fire in the 11th arrondissement.
Technical analysts know this pattern. Two price targets. One chart. Each side insists the other is cooking the numbers. The chart does not care. The chart is a line. The line goes up or down, and then a man named Gary loses his down payment.
The retail trader will read this headline and ask if the CAC 40 is affected. It might be. It might not. Your 14-day RSI has no opinion on Parisian street furniture.
France will keep arguing about the count. Committees will form. Someone will say the real number is somewhere in the middle. 615,000. A number nobody said, now treated as holy.
The unions say 820,000. The ministry says 410,000. Both numbers are higher than the count of retail traders who read the actual news before buying puts on French banks.
Photo by Norbu GYACHUNG on Unsplash
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